| 邹树梁,葛馨,刘衍波.核事故应急管理中地方政府与核电企业间的演化博弈分析[J].,2019,(5):1-6 |
| 核事故应急管理中地方政府与核电企业间的演化博弈分析 |
| Evolutionary Game Analysis Between Local Government and Nuclear Power Enterprise in Nuclear Accident Emergency Management |
| 投稿时间：2019-07-05 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 核事故 应急管理 演化博弈 |
| English Keywords:nuclear accident nuclear emergency evolutionary game |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 核事故的应急管理工作涉及大量的人员和部门。因为认知结构、偏好和利益动机不同,各决策主体必然会在决策行动中产生一定的冲突与合作。对各决策主体之间这种冲突与合作的关系进行分析有利于应急管理者在冲突的环境中做出正确的决策。文章运用演化博弈理论,构建了核事故应急管理中地方政府与核电企业间的决策行为博弈模型,分析了其决策行为的影响因素,从而为核事故应急决策提供政策建议。从演化博弈分析结果可以看出:通过建立地方政府与核电企业关于核电厂运行情况的信息共享机制,有利于地方政府在必要的时候及时对核事故应急管理进行积极整合。通过降低核电企业事故处置的成本,有利于核电企业将公众和环境安全放在事故处置的第一位。 |
| English Summary: |
| Emergency management of nuclear accidents involves a large number of people and departments. Because the cognitive structure, preferences, and interest motives are different, each decision-making subject will inevitably produce certain conflicts and cooperation in decision-making actions. Analyzing the relationship between this conflict and cooperation among decision-making bodies helps emergency managers make correct decisions in a conflicting environment. This paper uses evolutionary game theory to construct a game model of decision-making behavior between local government and nuclear power enterprises in emergency management of nuclear accidents, and analyzes the influencing factors of its decision-making behavior, thereby providing policy recommendations for nuclear accident emergency decision-making. From the results of the evolutionary game analysis, it can be seen that:establishing an information sharing mechanism on the operation of nuclear power plants by local governments and nuclear power enterprises is conducive to the timely intervention of local governments in the emergency management of nuclear accidents when necessary. By reducing the cost of accidents in nuclear power enterprises, nuclear power enterprises will be able to put public and environmental safety first in accident handling. |
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