刘春,王谦①,管河山②.系统协调度模型的稳健性研究[J].,2014,15(5):66-70
系统协调度模型的稳健性研究
Research on the Robustness of System Coordination Model
投稿时间:2014-08-12  
DOI:
中文关键词:  协调发展  模型  稳健性  指标选取
English Keywords:coordinative development  model  robustness  indicator selection
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作者单位
刘春,王谦①,管河山② 南华大学 经济管理学院湖南 衡阳 421001 
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中文摘要:
      文章从指标选取角度来探究系统协调度模型的稳健性能,采用Euclid距离函数建立协调度模型稳健性能的客观评价方法。选取四种协调度模型并采集全国经济—能源—环境系统的相关数据进行实证,每个子系统各采集10个指标的数据;通过随机选取指标的子集反复测试,对比分析不同指标选取时协调度模型实证结果的波动性。实证表明:无论是协调度走势图形的主观分析,还是稳健性的客观量化评价结果,都表明了不同协调度模型的稳健性能存在较大的差异。
English Summary:
      From the perspective of indicator number, this paper puts especial attention to the robustness of system coordination model, and then takes advantage of Euclid distance function to build an objective evaluation method. Firstly, it collects national Economy-Environment-Energy systems data during 1990-2012, exactly, 10 indicators are selected by each subsystem. Secondly, it takes four classic models to repeatedly make some empirical research, through selecting the subset from universal set randomly. Finally makes a comparison of the four models from the aspect of model robustness. Practices find that robustness performance indicates the existing coordination models are different in both subjective analysis of coordination trends and objective evaluation.
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