陈雅,聂春龙,陈振富.基于三角模糊实物期权法的PPP项目VFM定量评估研究[J].南华大学学报(自然科学版),2020,34(3):31~35, 50.[CHEN Ya,NIE Chunlong,CHEN Zhenfu.Research on VFM Quantitative Evaluation of PPP Project Based on Triangular Fuzzy Real Option Method[J].Journal of University of South China(Science and Technology),2020,34(3):31~35, 50.]
基于三角模糊实物期权法的PPP项目VFM定量评估研究
Research on VFM Quantitative Evaluation of PPP Project Based on Triangular Fuzzy Real Option Method
投稿时间:2019-12-06  
DOI:
中文关键词:  PPP模式  VFM定量评估  实物期权法  三角模糊数〖PS陈雅二维码.tif  Y4*4,Y#〗
英文关键词:PPP model  quantitative evaluation of VFM  real option method  triangular fuzzy number
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51678286)
作者单位
陈雅 南华大学 土木工程学院,湖南 衡阳 421001 
聂春龙 南华大学 土木工程学院,湖南 衡阳 421001 
陈振富 南华大学 土木工程学院,湖南 衡阳 421001 
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中文摘要:
      物有所值评价能够为公共项目实施模式的选择提供决策依据,但就目前的情况而言,物有所值定量评估存在比较大的争议。因此,在对传统模型进行了研究后,以此为基础在实物期权B-S模型中借助三角模糊数概念进行结合,试图将PPP项目评估过程中被忽略的期权价值发掘出来。以某旅游创意园项目为例,在不完全脱离现有评估体系的基础上计算得出不确定性价值范围,以期通过一个更加全面视角为物有所值定量评价提供参考依据。
英文摘要:
      Value-for-money evaluation can provide decision-making basis for the selection of public project implementation mode.As far as the current situation is concerned,there is a great controversy in the quantitative evaluation of value for money.Therefore,after the study of the traditional model,based on the B-S model of real options,this paper combines the concept of triangular fuzzy number and tries to find out the value of options neglected in the evaluation process of PPP projects.Taking a tourism creative park project as an example,the uncertainty value range is calculated without completely deviating from the existing evaluation system,so as to provide a more comprehensive perspective for the quantitative evaluation of value for money.
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