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| 基于SIRS模型的核电事故致因传播机制研究 |
| Research on the causal propagation mechanism of nuclear power accidents based on SIRS model |
| 投稿时间：2024-02-24 修订日期：2024-04-14 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 核电运行事件报告 风险传染 传染病模型 传播动力学 |
| English Keywords:Licensed Operation Event Reports (LOER) risk contagion infectious disease model Propagation dynamic |
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| 摘要点击次数: 6 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 本研究首先通过自然语言处理技术对152起核电厂执照运行事件报告（Licensed Operation Event Report，LOER）进行风险致因分析，得出风险致因复杂网络的相关数据。然后借助改进SIR传染病模型，结合核电运行事件风险传播的特征，构建了适用于核电领域的改进传播模型。对核电运行事件致因传播过程进行动态仿真，对比了不同因素对传播风险的影响差异，为当前的管理工作进行优化。 |
| English Summary: |
| In this study, 152 Licensed Operation Event Reports (LOER) of nuclear power plants were analyzed by natural language processing technology, and the relevant data of the complex network of risk causes were obtained. Then with the help of the improved SIR infectious disease model, it is combined with the characterization of the risk propagation of nuclear power operational events. An improved propagation model applicable to the nuclear power sector is constructed.Dynamic simulation of the causal propagation process of nuclear power operation events compares the differences in the impact of different factors on the propagation risk to optimize the current management efforts. |
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