| 谢敏,刘梦龙.新质生产力对产业链韧性的影响研究——兼论区域创新效率的中介效应[J].,2026,(1):21-29 |
| 新质生产力对产业链韧性的影响研究——兼论区域创新效率的中介效应 |
| Research on the Impact of New Quality Productivity on Industrial Chain Resilience:Mediating Effect of Regional Innovation Efficiency |
| 投稿时间：2025-02-17 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 新质生产力 产业链韧性 区域创新效率 |
| English Keywords:new quality productivity industrial chain resilience regional innovation efficiency ( |
| Fund Project: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 文章选取2010—2022年我国30省(自治区、直辖市)的面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型及中介效应检验模型,实证分析新质生产力发展对产业链韧性的直接效应和间接效应。研究发现:新质生产力能够促进产业链韧性提升,并且该结论在经过一系列稳健性和内生性检验后依然成立；区域创新效率在新质生产力促进产业链韧性提升的过程中发挥着中介作用；新质生产力对产业链韧性的促进效应会因不同地区在地理区位及产业结构升级水平上的差异而存在异质性。具体表现为:新质生产力对产业链韧性的促进效应呈现出“东—中—西”递减的态势；同时,相较于产业结构升级水平较低的地区,新质生产力对产业链韧性的促进作用在产业结构升级水平较高的地区更强。基于上述结论,建议大力发展新质生产力,优化区域产业链发展布局以及加快推动产业结构转型升级,以提高我国产业链韧性与安全性水平。 |
| English Summary: |
| Based on the panel data of 30 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2010 to 2022, this paper empirically identifies the direct and indirect effects of the development of new quality productivity on industrial chain resilience via two-way fixed-effect model, and mediating effect model. The results show that new quality productivity can promote industrial chain resilience, and this conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness and endogeneity tests. Regional innovation efficiency plays a mediating role in the impact of new quality productivity on the industrial chain resilience. The promoting effect of new quality productivity on industrial chain resilience will be heterogeneous due to the differences in geographical location and industrial structure upgrading level between regions. Specifically, the promotion effect of new quality productivity on the resilience of the industrial chain shows a decreasing trend of “East-Central-West”. At the same time, compared with areas with low levels of industrial structure upgrading, the role of new quality productivity in promoting the resilience of the industrial chain is stronger in areas with higher levels of industrial structure upgrading. Based on the above conclusions, it is recommended to vigorously develop new quality productivity, optimizing the spatial layout of the regional industrial chain and accelerating the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure to improve the resilience and security of China's industrial chain. |
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