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| 新质生产力、区域创新效率与产业链韧性 |
| Research on the Impact of New Quality Productivity on the Industrial Chain Resilience: On the Mediating Effect of Regional Innovation Efficiency |
| 投稿时间：2025-02-17 修订日期：2025-03-20 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 新质生产力 区域创新效率 产业链韧性 |
| English Keywords:new quality productivity regional innovation efficiency industrial chain resilience |
| Fund Project: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 基于2010-2022年我国30省(市、区)面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型、中介效应检验模型及空间杜宾模型,实证分析新质生产力发展对产业链韧性的直接效应和间接效应。研究发现：新质生产力能够促进地区产业链韧性提升,并且该结论在经过一系列稳健性和内生性检验后依然成立；区域创新效率在新质生产力对产业链韧性的影响中发挥着中介作用；新质生产力对产业链韧性的促进效应会因地区之间在地理区位及产业结构升级水平上的差异而存在异质性；新质生产力对产业链韧性的影响存在负向的空间溢出效应。基于上述结论,建议大力发展新质生产力；优化区域产业链发展布局；加快推动产业结构转型升级以及推动跨区域交流与合作,以提高我国产业链韧性与安全性水平。 |
| English Summary: |
| Based on the panel data of 30 provincial-level administrative units in China from 2010 to 2022, the direct and indirect effects of the development of new quality productivity on the industrial chain resilience are empirically analyzed by using the two-way fixed-effect model, the mediating effect test model and the spatial Durbin model. The results show that the new quality productivity can promote the regional industrial chain resilience, and this conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness and endogeneity tests. Regional innovation efficiency plays a mediating role in the impact of new quality productivity on the industrial chain resilience. The promoting effect of new quality productivity on the industrial chain resilience will be heterogeneous due to the differences in geographical location and industrial structure upgrading level between regions. Specifically, the promotion effect of new quality productivity on the resilience of the industrial chain shows a decreasing trend of "East-Central-West". At the same time, compared with areas with low levels of industrial structure upgrading, the role of new quality productivity in promoting the resilience of the industrial chain is stronger in areas with higher levels of industrial structure upgrading. Based on the above conclusions, it is recommended to vigorously develop new quality productivity; optimize the development layout of the regional industrial chain; accelerate the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure to improve the resilience and security of industrial chain. |
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