企业ESG表现因何而异——基于机器学习的证据
How Does Corporate ESG Performance Come : Evidence from Machine Learning
投稿时间:2024-12-13  修订日期:2025-03-06
DOI:
中文关键词:  ESG表现  可持续发展  机器学习  XGBoost  驱动因素
English Keywords:ESG Performance  Sustainable Development  Machine Learning  XGBoost  Driving Factor
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作者单位邮编
欧翠玲* 湖南大学 410082
颜克高 湖南大学 410082
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中文摘要:
      企业是践行可持续理念、实现可持续发展目标的重要主体。ESG表现不仅关乎企业自身的长远发展,更是健全美丽中国建设保障体系的一部分。文章以2009—2020年A股上市公司作为研究对象,基于机器学习中的GXBoost模型,有效考察企业特征对ESG表现的预测性,并识别预测能力最强的重要特征及其预测机制。研究发现:(1)相比于企业内部治理特征和股权结构特征,企业ESG表现主要受企业经营实力和外部监督压力特征的影响;(2)在多维度特征中,账面市值比、分析师关注度、公司透明度、有形资产比率、总资产净利润率、现金周转率、产权性质、外部环境治理指数、管理层薪酬和高管持股比例对ESG表现的预测效果最佳;(3)部分重要特征与企业ESG表现之间的关联呈现出非线性特点。本研究利用机器学习方法有效识别企业ESG表现的重要特征因子,有望为企业更好地实施可持续发展战略提供有益启发。
English Summary:
      Corporations are crucial agents in practicing sustainable concepts and achieving sustainable development goals. ESG performance as standards for corporate development in Chinese?modernization, it is also an essential part of the framework ensuring the construction of a beautiful China. In the process of production and operation, corporations need to holistically improve ESG performance. Existing literature mainly focuses on the relationship between single characteristic and ESG behavior, and makes predictions only within the sample, lacking a comprehensive consideration of the potential nonlinear relationship and interactions among some of the important independent variable. According to previous literature, this paper divides the firm characteristics into four categories, namely, business strength characteristic, shareholding structure characteristic, internal governance characteristic, and external supervision pressure characteristic. Using a sample of listed firms in the Chinese A-share market from 2009 to 2020,we first examine if different dimensions of firm characteristics can predict ESG performance by using a machine learning approach: XGBoost model. The evidence shows that: 1) Compared with shareholding structure characteristic and internal governance characteristic, corporate ESG are mainly driven by business strength characteristic and external supervision pressure characteristic, which indicates that corporate ESG practice are mainly affected by business strength and external supervision pressure characteristic factors. 2) Among multiple firm characteristics, book-to-market ratio, analyst focus, corporate transparency, tangible assets ratio, net total assets ratio, cash turnover ratio, nature of ownership, external environmental governance index, management compensation and executive shareholdings have the best prediction effect on corporate ESG performance. 3) The predictive ability of machine learning method for corporate ESG performance is better than that of traditional linear research methods, and the relations between predictors and corporate ESG performance are non-linear. This paper initiates a new, more thorough perspective in effectively identifying the antecedents of corporate ESG performance using machine learning methods and has important implications for companies to better formulate and implement sustainable development strategies.
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