| 李鹏程,许倩,王烨.基于DEMATEL-ANP+Z-numbers方法的核安全文化评价研究[J].,2023,(5):1-13 |
| 基于DEMATEL-ANP+Z-numbers方法的核安全文化评价研究 |
| Research on Nuclear Safety Culture Evaluation based on DEMATEL-ANP+Z-numbers Method |
| 投稿时间：2023-01-20 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 核安全文化评价 DEMATEL-ANP方法 Z-numbers 网络层次分析法 |
| English Keywords:nuclear safety culture assessment DEMATEL-ANP method Z-numbers network hierarchy analysis ( |
| Fund Project: |
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| 摘要点击次数: 167 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 核安全文化是影响核电安全运行的关键要素之一。为了更加精准识别核电厂安全文化存在的弱点和定量评估核安全文化水平,文章首先基于安全文化冰山模型和文献分析,从价值观、行为、系统和环境四个方面建立核安全文化评价指标体系；然后,基于DEMATEL-ANP+Z-numbers方法构建了核安全文化评估方法,考虑到指标体系可能存在相互影响,因此运用DEMATEL-ANP方法确定各级指标的权重,考虑到专家评估的主观性、模糊性和不确定性,运用Z-numbers模糊综合评估方法进行综合评价,使评估结果更为精准；最后,以某核电厂为实例进行应用分析。结果显示,该核电厂安全文化评估总得分为0.671,处于“较高”水平,并识别存在的主要弱点,为提升核安全文化水平提供理论支持。 |
| English Summary: |
| Nuclear safety culture is one of the key elements affecting the safe operation of nuclear power. In order to more accurately identify the weaknesses of nuclear power plant safety culture and quantitatively evaluate the level of nuclear safety culture, this paper first establishes a nuclear safety culture evaluation index system from four aspects:values, behaviors, systems and environment based on the safety culture iceberg model and literature analysis. Then, a nuclear safety culture assessment method based on DEMATEL-ANP+Z-numbers method is constructed, considering that the index system may have mutual influence, so the DEMATEL-ANP method is used to determine the weight of indicators at all levels, considering the subjectivity, ambiguity and uncertainty of expert assessment, the Z-numbers fuzzy comprehensive assessment method is used to conduct comprehensive evaluation to make the assessment results more accurate. Finally, taking a nuclear power plant as an example, the application analysis results show that the total score of the safety culture assessment of the nuclear power plant is 0.671, which is at a “high” level, and the main weaknesses are identified, which provides theoretical support for improving the level of nuclear safety culture. |
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