陈甲华,鲍桂爽.核安保事件应急决策的情景库构建与情景匹配研究[J].,2022,(6):1-9 |
核安保事件应急决策的情景库构建与情景匹配研究 |
Research on Scenario Database Construction and Scenario Matching for Emergency Decision-Making of Nuclear Security Incidents |
投稿时间:2022-08-18 |
DOI: |
中文关键词: 情景 情景库 核安保事件 应急决策 |
English Keywords:scenarios scenario library nuclear security events emergency decisions ( |
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中文摘要: |
纵观国际社会形势,核扩散风险、核恐怖主义威胁对全球核电发展带来诸多挑战,加强核安保事件应急决策研究至关重要。根据突发事件的情景—应对的相关理论,文章从内因、外因以及应急决策三个维度对核安保事件进行情景切分和关键因素提取,提出了核安保事件情景库的结构和构建过程,并提出了核安保事件案例库索引和基于最近相邻法的核安保事件情景相似度计算方法对核安保事件与情景库进行情景匹配。文章运用的情景库和情景匹配方法可以简练、准确地表达核安保事件应急决策的信息和实现快速的情景匹配,可为核安保事件的应急决策提供重要的支持。 |
English Summary: |
Throughout the international social situation, nuclear proliferation risks, nuclear terrorism threats and global nuclear power development have brought many challenges. It is very important to strengthen the research on emergency decision-making of nuclear security incidents.According to the relevant theories of emergency situation-response, this paper divides nuclear security events into scenarios and extracts key factors from three dimensions:internal factors, external factors and emergency decision-making. A nuclear security event case database index and a nuclear security event scenario similarity calculation method based on the nearest neighbor method are proposed to match the nuclear security events and the scenario database. The scenario library and scenario matching method proposed in this paper can express the information of emergency decision-making of nuclear security incidents concisely and accurately and realize fast scenario matching, which can provide important support for emergency decision-making of nuclear security incidents. |
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